Europa League 1/16
Global 1-3
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1984 |
LOK
3 - 2
BFC
33%
23%
44%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
SGD
3 - 0
LOK
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
LSK
3 - 0
LOK
31%
28%
41%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
LOK
4 - 1
CHE
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
LOK
7 - 0
LSK
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
SPA
2 - 1
OBK
99%
1%
0%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
OBK
1 - 5
SPA
2%
23%
75%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
SPA
1 - 0
AND
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1984 |
AND
4 - 2
SPA
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1983 |
SPA
2 - 0
SPA
97%
2%
1%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |