Lokomotive Leipzig vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
CZJ
3 - 2
LOK
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1961 |
ERF
1 - 0
LOK
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1961 |
LOK
4 - 1
SAC
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1961 |
LOK
3 - 1
BWA
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
LOK
0 - 3
BFC
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
ERF
0 - 3
ROS
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1961 |
ERF
1 - 0
LOK
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1961 |
CZJ
0 - 0
ERF
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1961 |
ERF
1 - 3
ABS
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
ERF
5 - 0
LAS
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |