Lokomotive Leipzig vs Fortuna Chemnitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
PLA
1 - 0
LOK
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
LOK
1 - 0
FAD
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
SVG
0 - 0
LOK
19%
26%
55%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
DRE
0 - 2
LOK
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
LOK
5 - 0
SON
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
FCH
0 - 1
DRE
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
SON
0 - 3
FCH
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
FCH
1 - 0
DRE
24%
25%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
MAG
0 - 1
FCH
88%
9%
3%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
FCH
0 - 2
ZWI
23%
25%
52%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -2 |