Lokomotive Leipzig vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GRU
0 - 4
LOK
19%
22%
59%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
LOK
3 - 0
ROT
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +4 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ZWI
1 - 1
LOK
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
LOK
0 - 0
AUE
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LOK
0 - 1
FCH
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 3
VFL
70%
17%
12%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 1
ERZ
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ERZ
5 - 1
GRU
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 3
ROT
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ZWI
3 - 0
ERZ
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |