Lokomotive Leipzig vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
LOK
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LOK
0 - 4
MEU
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GER
0 - 0
LOK
35%
26%
38%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LOK
2 - 0
BDR
80%
14%
7%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
ROT
0 - 2
LOK
18%
23%
60%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
ERZ
2 - 1
AUE
24%
25%
50%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
POS
1 - 0
ERZ
50%
24%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ERZ
2 - 0
GWW
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ROT
2 - 1
ERZ
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
ERZ
1 - 1
MAG
15%
22%
63%
|
29 | 56 | 27 | +1 |