Lokomotive Leipzig vs Erfurt-Nord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
LOK
2 - 0
GER
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
AUE
0 - 0
LOK
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
LOK
2 - 1
POS
77%
16%
8%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2003 |
ZWI
4 - 2
LOK
31%
27%
41%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
LOK
0 - 1
DRE
72%
17%
10%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Erfurt-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
SON
1 - 1
ERF
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
ERF
1 - 2
ENE
29%
24%
48%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
CZJ
1 - 0
ERF
83%
12%
5%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
GER
3 - 0
ERF
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ERF
0 - 1
AUE
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |