Lokomotiva vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
9º
7º
49
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
HNS
2 - 1
LOK
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LOK
2 - 1
OSI
29%
25%
45%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
DZG
3 - 2
LOK
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 0
LOK
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
MTA
3 - 0
LOK
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 1
HNG
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
DJU
2 - 0
RIJ
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 2
DJU
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 1
RIJ
13%
19%
68%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 2
FCK
66%
19%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |