Lokomotiva vs NK Osijek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
9º
5º
7
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 69 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 66 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 56 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 48 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 46 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 42 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 36 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 31 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5.5% | 29% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IST
0 - 2
LOK
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 4
LOK
5%
12%
83%
|
79 | 33 | 46 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 1
NKV
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 1
HNS
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
2 - 2
LOK
20%
25%
54%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NKV
1 - 3
OSI
3%
11%
86%
|
82 | 31 | 51 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
OSI
1 - 0
SLA
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HKS
1 - 0
OSI
46%
25%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
0 - 2
RIJ
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HNG
2 - 2
OSI
23%
25%
53%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |