Lokomotiva vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
9º
7º
27
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OSI
4 - 1
LOK
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LOK
1 - 2
DZG
29%
26%
46%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LOK
1 - 2
NKV
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
IST
1 - 2
LOK
25%
26%
50%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LOK
0 - 1
SLA
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 1
HNG
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RIJ
0 - 0
HNS
74%
18%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 1
HKS
12%
20%
68%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OSI
1 - 1
HNS
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 2
DZG
14%
23%
64%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |