Lokomotiva vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
9º
7º
32
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 0
LOK
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 0
HNS
65%
22%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
OSI
2 - 2
LOK
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 2
DZG
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 1
NKV
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
HNG
0 - 0
HKS
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HNG
1 - 0
RIJ
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
HNG
1 - 0
RUD
66%
20%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
HNS
0 - 4
HNG
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
HNG
2 - 0
OSI
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +2 |