Lokomotiva vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
10º
6º
40
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 65 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 64 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 63 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 55 |
4º
|
45% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 49 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 41 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 39 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 31 |
10º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 43% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
RIJ
4 - 1
LOK
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LOK
3 - 2
NKV
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
LOK
0 - 0
NKP
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
LOK
2 - 0
HNG
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
HNG
1 - 4
LOK
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
HKS
0 - 0
SLA
67%
20%
12%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
MUR
1 - 0
HKS
15%
24%
61%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
HKS
1 - 2
UJP
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
HKS
1 - 0
OSN
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
HNS
1 - 2
HKS
20%
27%
53%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |