Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
50.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
LSO
4 - 2
BVR
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
CHB
2 - 0
LSO
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1980 |
STU
3 - 1
LSO
82%
13%
6%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
LSO
1 - 1
BER
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1979 |
DYN
2 - 1
LSO
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
BVB
2 - 4
STU
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1980 |
STU
1 - 1
MUN
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1980 |
STU
3 - 1
LSO
82%
13%
6%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
KFC
4 - 2
STU
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
STU
5 - 1
BRE
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |