Lokomotiv Sofia vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
CSK
1 - 0
LSO
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
LSO
3 - 2
SLI
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 4
LSO
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LSO
3 - 0
LOK
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LOV
2 - 1
LSO
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
SVA
0 - 1
CVA
28%
29%
43%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
LSO
5 - 0
SVA
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SVA
0 - 3
CHB
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 0
SVA
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SVA
1 - 1
VIH
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |