Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
16º
14º
20
12º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 76 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 57 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 52 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 40 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 32 |
11º
|
31% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 31 |
12º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 22 |
15º
|
42% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
CVA
4 - 0
LSO
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
LSO
2 - 1
BER
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LSO
2 - 0
LSO
67%
21%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
LSO
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 2
ARK
30%
30%
40%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 0
SEP
61%
22%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
SEP
1 - 2
CVA
25%
29%
46%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BER
2 - 0
SEP
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LSO
2 - 3
SEP
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
SEP
1 - 0
BOT
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |