Europa League 1/16
Global 1-1
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
LSO
3 - 1
BOT
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
BVR
1 - 2
LSO
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
LSO
1 - 1
ETA
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
LSO
4 - 2
APO
75%
14%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
BER
2 - 0
LSO
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
NEX
4 - 0
BAS
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
NEX
2 - 1
STG
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1985 |
SPO
4 - 4
NEX
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
FCA
0 - 1
NEX
39%
25%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
NEX
3 - 0
SPO
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |