Lokomotiv Sofia vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
LSO
2 - 3
SEP
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
OFK
0 - 2
LSO
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LSO
1 - 1
LOV
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
STR
1 - 1
LSO
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LSO
2 - 0
KAR
67%
21%
11%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
NES
2 - 1
LOK
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
NES
0 - 2
CSK
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
OFK
1 - 3
NES
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NES
0 - 0
LOV
29%
25%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
NES
1 - 3
LUD
9%
19%
72%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |