Lokomotiv Sofia vs Neftochimic Burgas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LUD
4 - 0
LSO
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
LSO
0 - 2
CVA
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BER
0 - 1
LSO
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 2
LPL
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CSK
5 - 0
LSO
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Neftochimic Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
NEF
0 - 3
LUD
17%
25%
58%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NEF
1 - 6
LSO
17%
25%
58%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CVA
2 - 1
NEF
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
NEF
1 - 3
BER
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LPL
2 - 0
NEF
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |