Champions League 1/16
Global 8-5
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1964 |
LSO
4 - 2
SPA
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1964 |
AKA
1 - 3
LSO
59%
21%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1960 |
CSK
1 - 1
LSO
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1960 |
LSO
4 - 0
DUN
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
LSO
0 - 1
LSO
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
MFF
0 - 2
DEG
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1964 |
ESK
1 - 2
MFF
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1964 |
MFF
4 - 1
HEL
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1964 |
DJU
0 - 0
MFF
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1964 |
MFF
3 - 0
GÖT
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |