Cup 1/16
Global 5-1
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Kaliakra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
LSO
0 - 0
LSO
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
NEF
0 - 2
LSO
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 2
LUD
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CVA
2 - 2
LSO
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
KAL
1 - 2
LSO
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Kaliakra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FKV
1 - 0
KAL
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
KAL
0 - 2
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 1
KAL
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
KAL
1 - 2
LSO
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
KAL
0 - 2
FKH
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |