Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
16º
12º
6
8º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 66 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 58 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 51 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 47 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 39 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 32 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 30 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 27 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0.5% | 5% |
|
Next round
|
7.5% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
92% | 57.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LPL
1 - 1
LSO
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 1
BVR
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 0
CSK
31%
28%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SEP
0 - 1
LSO
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
2 - 1
CVA
26%
30%
45%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
BOT
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 1
CSK
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
SSO
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
3 - 0
CSK
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
3 - 1
HEB
68%
21%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |