Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
16º
14º
26
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 76 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 60 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 58 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 52 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 34 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 25 |
14º
|
38% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 21 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 18 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LPL
1 - 1
LSO
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 1
BVR
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 0
CSK
31%
28%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SEP
0 - 1
LSO
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
2 - 1
CVA
26%
30%
45%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
BOT
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 1
CSK
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
SSO
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
3 - 0
CSK
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
3 - 1
HEB
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |