Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
16º
14º
21
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 76 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 60 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 58 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 52 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 34 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 25 |
14º
|
38% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 21 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 18 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 32.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 67.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SEP
0 - 1
LSO
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
2 - 1
CVA
26%
30%
45%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
BER
0 - 0
LSO
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 6
LSO
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 0
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA 1948 Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
PAF
4 - 0
CSK
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 1
PAF
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BUD
1 - 1
CSK
47%
23%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 2
SVA
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
1 - 0
BUD
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |