Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
4º
3º
36
3º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 4 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 4 |
4º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
LSO
1 - 3
ARK
42%
29%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
LSO
1 - 1
SSO
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 2
LSO
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ARK
3 - 0
LSO
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 2
LSO
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 0
SSO
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
ARK
2 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 2
LSO
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SSO
1 - 0
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 2
LUD
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |