Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 1-2
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Borac Čačak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
VIH
1 - 0
LSO
37%
28%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
LSO
1 - 0
OFK
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
BOR
1 - 0
LSO
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
FKM
0 - 1
LSO
21%
27%
52%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
LSO
3 - 0
BER
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Borac Čačak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
JAG
1 - 1
BOR
28%
30%
43%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
BOR
0 - 0
ČUK
57%
26%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
BOR
1 - 0
LSO
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
BOR
3 - 1
DAC
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
DAC
1 - 1
BOR
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |