Lokomotiv Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
29.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
4º
3º
58
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 4 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 4 |
4º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
LSO
1 - 1
SSO
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 2
LSO
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ARK
3 - 0
LSO
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 2
LSO
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LSO
1 - 1
ARK
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
ARK
2 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SSO
0 - 0
ARK
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ARK
3 - 0
LSO
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LSO
1 - 1
ARK
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
ARK
2 - 2
CVA
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |