Europa League 1/32
Global 6-4
Lokomotiv Sofia vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
BER
2 - 0
LSO
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
APO
2 - 2
LSO
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
LSO
3 - 2
SPA
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1985 |
CVA
4 - 0
LSO
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
LSO
3 - 1
SSO
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
APO
2 - 2
LSO
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
SER
3 - 1
APO
91%
6%
3%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
APO
0 - 3
SER
5%
18%
77%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
ARG
4 - 0
APO
77%
13%
10%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
APO
1 - 1
ARG
37%
24%
39%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |