Champions League Last 16
Global 0-5
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
LSO
1 - 0
SPA
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
SSO
2 - 0
LSO
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
LSO
2 - 1
OBK
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1978 |
LSO
1 - 0
CHB
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
BOT
1 - 1
LSO
53%
27%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
S04
1 - 1
KOL
43%
25%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
KOL
3 - 3
MSV
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
BVB
0 - 0
KOL
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
IAA
1 - 1
KOL
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
WHE
2 - 3
KOL
14%
19%
67%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |