Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LSO
1 - 0
LPL
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
LPL
1 - 3
CSK
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CHB
1 - 3
LPL
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
LPL
2 - 1
SLI
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 2
LPL
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SVA
0 - 2
CSK
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
SLI
0 - 1
SVA
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SVA
0 - 0
BEL
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
LOK
1 - 1
SVA
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
LOV
2 - 1
SVA
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |