Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
13º
13º
19
12º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 76 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 60 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 58 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 50 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 32 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 28 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 96% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
LPL
0 - 2
ARK
17%
21%
62%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LPL
2 - 0
TOR
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
RAD
2 - 1
LPL
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
BER
2 - 0
LPL
38%
25%
38%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
LPL
1 - 2
BER
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
SEP
0 - 3
TER
27%
24%
50%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
SEP
1 - 2
SHK
33%
25%
43%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SEP
3 - 0
OBO
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
VAR
0 - 1
SEP
25%
23%
52%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SEP
2 - 1
STR
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |