Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 3-4
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1965 |
JUV
1 - 1
LPL
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1964 |
LPL
2 - 0
PET
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1964 |
PET
1 - 0
LPL
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
DUN
3 - 4
LPL
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
LPL
2 - 0
VOJ
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
JUV
7 - 0
GEN
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
BOL
1 - 1
JUV
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
JUV
0 - 0
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1965 |
JUV
1 - 1
LPL
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
MAN
1 - 0
JUV
21%
26%
53%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |