Europa League 1/32
Global 3-4
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
CZJ
3 - 0
LPL
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
LPL
1 - 1
LSO
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
DUN
4 - 1
LPL
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
LPL
0 - 2
SSO
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1971 |
SPA
2 - 2
LPL
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
CZJ
3 - 0
LPL
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
ZWI
1 - 2
CZJ
27%
28%
45%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
CZJ
2 - 0
ROS
75%
17%
8%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1971 |
FCU
1 - 1
CZJ
23%
27%
50%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
CZJ
1 - 0
VOR
82%
11%
7%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |