Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 5-2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs FC Brasov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1963 |
BRA
1 - 3
LPL
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1953 |
VVS
0 - 3
LPL
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1953 |
LPL
0 - 0
LSO
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1953 |
FKM
1 - 1
LPL
48%
23%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1953 |
LPL
0 - 0
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Brasov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
PET
1 - 0
BRA
59%
21%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
BRA
1 - 1
UTA
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1963 |
BRA
1 - 3
LPL
66%
18%
16%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
BRA
1 - 2
RAP
63%
20%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
TIM
1 - 2
BRA
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |