Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
LPL
3 - 0
BOT
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 2
LPL
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
LPL
0 - 1
VIH
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
LOK
1 - 1
LPL
31%
26%
44%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2009 |
LPL
3 - 2
OFK
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
DER
1 - 1
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
CSK
1 - 0
DER
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
CSK
2 - 1
LOK
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
LOV
1 - 0
CSK
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
CSK
1 - 0
LSO
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |