Europa League 1/32
Global 3-5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
LPL
2 - 2
LSO
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
BER
2 - 2
LPL
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
LPL
1 - 2
BOT
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
OFK
2 - 0
LPL
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
LPL
1 - 1
LSO
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1975 |
HSV
4 - 0
CRV
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
CRV
1 - 1
HSV
59%
20%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
CRV
1 - 1
FCU
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
FCU
1 - 3
CRV
47%
23%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1975 |
CRV
2 - 2
FTC
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |