Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
26.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
5º
6º
5º
54
5º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
84 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
85 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
CSK
1 - 0
LPL
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
LPL
0 - 3
LSO
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 0
LPL
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
LPL
1 - 0
LSO
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
SSO
1 - 1
LPL
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
LSO
2 - 1
CVA
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
CVA
1 - 1
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 0
CVA
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 2
CVA
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CVA
3 - 2
SVA
69%
21%
11%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |