Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
LSO
2 - 1
LPL
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
LPL
1 - 0
LUD
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LPL
0 - 3
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
LUD
2 - 0
LPL
65%
20%
16%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LPL
2 - 0
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
CVA
0 - 1
BOT
38%
30%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CSK
2 - 0
CVA
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
CVA
1 - 1
LOV
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CVA
1 - 1
LUD
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LSO
1 - 0
CVA
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |