Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
LPL
29%
27%
45%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LPL
2 - 2
BOT
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
LPL
0 - 0
LOV
48%
23%
29%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LSO
2 - 1
LPL
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LPL
1 - 0
SSO
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CVA
0 - 0
CSK
35%
29%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LOV
4 - 1
CVA
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
STR
0 - 0
CVA
12%
20%
68%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CVA
2 - 0
LSO
52%
27%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PIR
3 - 2
CVA
19%
27%
54%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |