Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
9º
6º
28
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
LPL
2 - 1
MAR
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LPL
1 - 1
OLY
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
PRI
3 - 1
LPL
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
LPL
1 - 3
MLA
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LPL
1 - 0
ZOR
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 0
BVR
64%
20%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
OFK
2 - 0
BVR
44%
23%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
BVR
3 - 0
BAN
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
OFK
2 - 1
BVR
44%
23%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
BVR
39%
23%
38%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |