Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CSK
0 - 1
LPL
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
LPL
6 - 0
OBO
85%
11%
4%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
LPL
0 - 0
DUN
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
LOK
2 - 1
LPL
19%
25%
56%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
LPL
2 - 3
OFK
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BER
2 - 1
MON
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LSO
2 - 0
BER
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BER
3 - 4
BOT
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
BER
0 - 1
CVA
44%
27%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CSK
4 - 0
BER
39%
27%
33%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |