Lokomotiv Nizhny Novgorod vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Nizhny Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1999 |
SAT
1 - 1
LNN
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
LNN
3 - 2
CHE
39%
27%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
LNN
0 - 1
TOR
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
FCR
1 - 0
LNN
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
LNN
1 - 1
ROT
23%
25%
53%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1999 |
CHE
1 - 1
YAR
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
LNN
3 - 2
CHE
39%
27%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
ELI
3 - 1
CHE
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
CHE
1 - 2
TOR
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
ALA
3 - 1
CHE
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |