Champions League Last 16
Global 2-2
Lokomotiv Moskva vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
ARS
2 - 0
LOK
84%
11%
5%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2003 |
LOK
3 - 2
DYN
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
INT
1 - 1
LOK
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
LOK
6 - 0
ELI
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ZEN
0 - 0
LOK
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
MON
4 - 0
MPL
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
MON
0 - 1
LIL
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
MON
4 - 1
LYO
55%
23%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
MET
0 - 2
MON
20%
26%
54%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
PSG
64%
21%
15%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |