Lokomotiv Moskva vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2000 |
LOK
3 - 2
CSK
55%
24%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2000 |
SAT
1 - 1
LOK
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
LOK
1 - 0
DIN
56%
23%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
LNN
0 - 1
LOK
18%
23%
60%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
ELI
1 - 4
LOK
27%
27%
47%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2000 |
CHE
3 - 1
ELI
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
ALA
1 - 0
CHE
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
CHE
1 - 2
FCR
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
ZEN
0 - 0
CHE
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
CHE
1 - 0
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |