Lokomotiv Moskva vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
LOK
0 - 2
ATM
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
LOK
1 - 0
ZEN
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 1
LOK
13%
21%
65%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GAZ
2 - 3
LOK
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
LEV
1 - 2
LOK
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
KRA
2 - 0
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
FAK
1 - 2
ARS
10%
18%
72%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 1
URA
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
ZEN
3 - 1
ARS
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 2
CSK
37%
28%
36%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -2 |