Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Mezdra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
BVR
1 - 0
LOK
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LOK
0 - 1
DOB
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
LOK
0 - 4
BOT
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 1
LOK
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LOK
4 - 1
VER
73%
16%
11%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
SVA
1 - 2
PIR
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BGA
1 - 0
SVA
53%
25%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
SVA
1 - 7
LSO
10%
19%
71%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SVA
1 - 2
MAS
53%
25%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MON
3 - 0
SVA
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |