Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Mezdra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LOK
2 - 0
BAN
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
OBO
1 - 0
LOK
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LOK
1 - 1
LOK
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BGA
2 - 1
LOK
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LOK
0 - 2
POM
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SEP
1 - 1
LLO
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 0
SEP
74%
18%
9%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SEP
0 - 1
LUD
33%
25%
43%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
OBO
2 - 1
SEP
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SEP
2 - 0
SPA
27%
24%
48%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |