Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Lokomotiv Dryanovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
5º
4º
1
10º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
9 | 26 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 24 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 22 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 20 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 20 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 19 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 17 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 16 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 13 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 13 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 10 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 10 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 8 |
13º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Mezdra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
ETR
2 - 1
LOK
29%
22%
49%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
VIH
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ABV
1 - 2
LOK
14%
19%
67%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LOK
3 - 0
BTL
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PAV
1 - 1
LOK
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Dryanovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LOD
1 - 1
ASV
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SEV
3 - 0
LOD
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LOD
2 - 1
ASV
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +3 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FKD
3 - 3
LOD
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
LOD
1 - 1
YPT
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |