Lokomotiv Liski vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Liski
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
ORE
1 - 2
LOK
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
LOK
3 - 0
TAM
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +3 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MET
1 - 2
LOK
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
LOK
1 - 1
VYB
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
POD
0 - 1
LOK
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 2
ZEN
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHE
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ORE
4 - 0
ARS
15%
22%
63%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 3
TAM
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MET
2 - 1
ARS
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |