Lokeren vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
LOK
2 - 1
BEE
41%
26%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
KVC
2 - 0
LOK
45%
25%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
LOK
1 - 1
UNI
28%
27%
44%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LEU
2 - 3
LOK
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LOM
1 - 1
LOK
32%
26%
43%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 2
KSV
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BEE
2 - 1
EXC
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 0
LOM
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
KVC
0 - 1
EXC
70%
20%
11%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
EXC
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |