Europa League 1/16
Global 1-4
Lokeren vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
THO
2 - 0
LOK
37%
28%
36%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
SLB
2 - 0
LOK
73%
18%
10%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
LOK
1 - 1
AND
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
SER
0 - 0
LOK
19%
23%
58%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1982 |
LOK
0 - 0
STA
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
MAR
0 - 1
SLB
14%
25%
61%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
SLB
2 - 0
LOK
73%
18%
10%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
SLB
8 - 0
VAR
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
BET
1 - 2
SLB
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |