Europa League 1/16
Global 5-1
Lokeren vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
LOK
1 - 2
KVK
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
ARI
1 - 1
LOK
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
KFC
0 - 0
LOK
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1981 |
AND
3 - 2
LOK
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
LOK
1 - 0
TON
87%
10%
4%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
ARI
1 - 1
LOK
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
SLI
2 - 4
ARI
20%
21%
59%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
ARI
4 - 0
SLI
82%
11%
6%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
ARI
3 - 1
IPS
19%
24%
57%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
IPS
5 - 1
ARI
88%
8%
4%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |