Lok Stendal vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lok Stendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
SVD
3 - 2
LAS
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
LAS
1 - 1
ZWI
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
BWA
4 - 0
LAS
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
LAS
3 - 3
SGD
47%
24%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
BFM
1 - 2
LAS
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
ERF
3 - 2
BAB
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
BEL
1 - 4
ERF
44%
23%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
ERF
2 - 1
ABS
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
SED
0 - 2
ERF
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
SAC
2 - 0
ERF
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |